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Extreme Weather Causes Cocoa and Coffee Prices to Double and Further Food Price Volatility: Implications for the Hospitality Industry

By
Malcolm Jull
Chief Executive Officer at PurchasePlus
May 26, 2025

Extreme weather events, fueled by climate change, are disrupting global supply chains and causing significant price volatility for essential commodities like cocoa and coffee. This volatility poses significant challenges for the hospitality industry, which relies heavily on these ingredients for food and beverage offerings. This article explores the impact of extreme weather on cocoa and coffee prices, the consequences for the hospitality sector, and strategies for building more resilient supply chains.

The Impact of Extreme Weather on Cocoa and Coffee Prices

Recent years have witnessed a dramatic surge in cocoa and coffee prices, primarily driven by extreme weather events in key producing regions. These events, including droughts, floods, and heat waves, have disrupted harvests, reduced yields, and led to significant price increases.

  • Cocoa Production: West Africa, a major cocoa-producing region, has been particularly hard hit by drought and heat waves. These conditions have led to a decline in cocoa production, pushing prices to record highs. In 2024, cocoa prices reached over US $12,000 per ton, a significant increase from the US $2,000 per ton average in previous years.
  • Coffee Production: Major coffee-producing countries like Brazil and Vietnam have also been impacted by extreme weather. Excessive rainfall, droughts, and temperature fluctuations have affected coffee yields and quality, contributing to price volatility in the global coffee market.

Consequences for the Hospitality Sector

The volatility in cocoa and coffee prices has several implications for the hospitality industry:

  • Increased Operational Costs: Hotels, restaurants, and cafes rely heavily on cocoa and coffee for their food and beverage offerings. The surge in prices directly impacts the cost of goods sold, squeezing profit margins and potentially impacting profitability.
  • Menu Adjustments: To manage costs, some establishments may need to adjust their menus, potentially reducing the availability of certain items, increasing prices, or substituting ingredients. This can affect guest satisfaction and potentially impact demand.
  • Supply Chain Disruptions: Unpredictable price fluctuations and potential shortages can create challenges in procurement planning and inventory management, increasing the risk of stockouts or overstocking.

Strategies for Building Resilient Supply Chains

To mitigate the challenges posed by extreme weather and commodity price volatility, hotels can implement several strategies to enhance their supply chain resilience:

  • Leveraging Technology for Efficient Procurement: Technology can play a crucial role in navigating price volatility and supply chain disruptions. Procurement platforms like PurchasePlus provide real-time insights into market trends, supplier pricing, and inventory levels, enabling hotels to make informed purchasing decisions and optimize their supply chain.
  • Diversifying Supplier Networks: Engaging with multiple suppliers across different regions can reduce reliance on single-source suppliers and mitigate the risk of disruptions due to localized extreme weather events.
  • Embracing Sustainable Practices: Investing in sustainable sourcing and supporting suppliers committed to environmentally friendly practices can contribute to the long-term stability of commodity supplies. Sustainable practices can also help reduce costs and enhance brand reputation.
  • Training and Development: Educating staff on efficient resource management, cost-saving measures, and sustainable practices can help mitigate the impact of price volatility and ensure the entire organization is aligned in navigating these challenges.

Future Outlook: Preparing for Continued Volatility

As climate change continues to influence weather patterns, the hospitality industry must prepare for ongoing volatility in commodity prices. Proactive measures, including the adoption of resilient procurement strategies, are essential for navigating these challenges. By staying informed, embracing technology, and adapting their operations, hotels can maintain operational efficiency and continue to provide exceptional guest experiences despite external pressures.

In this context, sourcing the right products from top-tier suppliers at competitive prices becomes crucial. Utilizing platforms like PurchasePlus can connect businesses with a range of reputable suppliers, streamlining procurement processes and enhancing supply chain resilience. Such solutions enable hotels to find the right product from the right supplier at the right price, effectively mitigating the challenges posed by extreme weather-induced price volatility.